The government plans to evaluate the price of fuel oil (BBM), especially premium and diesel. Evaluation is done after inflationary pressure during Ramadan and Lebaran subsided.
The evaluation is done because the price of Indonesian crude oil / ICP is above the government assumption in APBN. Therefore, the government is expected to increase the price of the two subsidized fuel.
However, Jonan is yet to confirm whether the government plans to raise fuel prices or keep prices current. One thing is certain, the opportunity to decrease fuel prices after Lebaran difficult to happen.
"The possibility is going down, because the price at that time is set at ICP in the range of USD 40 to USD 45 per barrel, while the current average is USD 49 per barrel," said Jonan.
Until now, the government has not been able to determine whether the trend of rising world oil prices will continue or not. In addition to supply and demand, other factors such as the level of consumption of large countries and geopolitical conditions to determine the fluctuations in oil prices.
Fluctuations in world oil prices have made the government again to evaluate Indonesia's crude price / ICP in the macro assumption of the Revised State Revenue and Expenditure Budget (APBNP) 2017. The government is also evaluating the production target of oil ready for sale (lifting) in 2018.
Deputy Minister of Energy and Mineral Resources (ESDM) Arcandra Tahar said, the evaluation is done because the world oil price is unpredictable. Nevertheless, the assumption in the state budget is considered the best that can be achieved.
"However, the best assumption is not necessarily the same as the reality in the world, because no one can predict the world oil price," Candra explained at the ESDM Ministry Office yesterday (5/6).
Meanwhile, the government is targeting oil lifting in 2018 to reach 800 thousand barrels per day. The target is set to spur the spirit of contractor cooperation contract to continue to increase production or at least maintain the achievement of lifting. "This year's target is 771,000 barrels per day, next year's production could be above 800,000 barrels per day" said Candra
IN INDONESIAN
Juli, Premium-Solar Berpotensi Naik Harga
Pemerintah berencana mengevaluasi harga bahan bakar minyak (BBM), khususnya premium dan solar Evaluasi dilakukan setelah tekanan inflasi selama Ramadan dan Lebaran mereda.
Evaluasi dilakukan karena harga minyak mentah Indonesia/ICP di atas asumsi pemerintah di APBN. Karena itu, pemerintah diperkirakan meningkatkan harga dua BBM bersubsidi tersebut.
Meski demikian, Jonan belum bersedia memastikan apakah pemerintah berencana menaikkan harga BBM atau tetap mempertahankan harga saat ini. Satu hal yang pasti, peluang untuk penurunan harga BBM setelah Lebaran sulit terjadi.
"Kemungkinan turun susah. Sebab, harga pada saat itu ditetapkan pada ICP di kisaran USD 40 sampai USD 45 per barel, sedangkan rata-rata saat ini USD 49 per barel,” kata Jonan.
Hingga kini, pemerintah juga belum bisa memastikan apakah tren kenaikan harga minyak dunia akan terus berlanjut atau tidak. Selain pasokan dan permintaan, faktor Iain seperti tingkat konsumsi negara-negara besar dan kondisi geopolitik menjadi penentu fluktuasi harga minyak.
Fluktuasi harga minyak dunia membuat pemerintah kembali mengevaluasi Indonesia crude price/ICP dalam asumsi makro Anggaran Pendapatan dan Belanja Negara Perubahan (APBNP) 2017. Pemerintah juga mengevaluasi target produksi minyak siap jual (lifting) pada 2018.
Wakil Menteri Energi dan Sumber Daya Mineral (ESDM) Arcandra Tahar menuturkan, evaluasi dilakukan karena harga minyak dunia tidak dapat diprediksi. Meski demikian, asumsi di APBN dianggap hal terbaik yang bisa dicapai.
"Namun, asumsi terbaik itu pun belum tentu sama dengan kenyataan di dunia. Sebab, tidak ada seorang pun yang bisa memprediksi harga minyak dunia," jelas Candra di Kantor Kementerian ESDM kemarin (5/6).
Sementara itu, pemerintah menargetkan lifting minyak pada 2018 mencapai 800 ribu barel per hari. Target tersebut ditetapkan untuk memacu semangat kontraktor kontrak kerja sama agar terus meningkatkan produksi atau minimal mempertahankan pencapaian lifting. "Tahun ini targetnya 771.000 barel per hari. Produksi tahun depan kalau bisa di atas 800.000 barel per hari" kata Candra
Jawa Pos, Page-5, Tuesday, June 6, 2017
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