Despite the rapid development of renewable energy, Indonesia will still rely on fossil energy, such as oil, natural gas and coal. In the national energy policy, the role of fossil energy is still dominant. Until the next few years, renewable energy will not be able to replace fossil energy.
This was stated by Deputy Minister of Energy and Mineral Resources (ESDM) Arcandra Tahar.
"In 2025 later, the portion of renewable energy in the national energy mix is 23 percent. Now, the portion is still below 10 percent. It feels quite heavy toward 23 percent in the next 8 years, "said Arcandra.
Moreover, the consumption of fuel oil will increase in 2025. Along with economic growth, including population growth, fuel consumption in Indonesia is estimated at 2.3 million barrels per day. The current consumption ranges from 1.6 to 1.7 million barrels per day.
Based on data from the Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources, Indonesia's proven reserves of about 3.6 billion barrels of oil are estimated to be exhausted in the next 13 years if no new reserves are found. Meanwhile, the proven reserves of natural gas remain about 100 trillion cubic feet or are estimated to be sufficient for up to 34 years. The remaining coal reserves are 7.2 billion tons or will be exhausted in the next 16 years.
IN INDONESIA
Peran Energi Fosil Masih Dominan
Kendati perkembangan energi terbarukan semakin pesat, Indonesia masih akan bergantung pada energi fosil, seperti minyak, gas bumi dan batubara. Dalam kebijakan energi nasional, peran energi fosil masih dominan. Hingga beberapa tahun mendatang, energi terbarukan belum akan dapat menggantikan energi fosil.
Demikian diungkapkan oleh Wakil Menteri Energi dan Sumber Daya Mineral (ESDM) Arcandra Tahar.
”Pada 2025 nanti, porsi energi terbarukan dalam bauran energi nasional adalah 23 persen. Sekarang, porsinya masih di bawah 10 persen. Rasanya cukup berat menuju 23 persen dalam kurun 8 tahun mendatang,” kata Arcandra.
Apalagi konsumsi bahan bakar minyak akan meningkat pada 2025. Seiring dengan pertumbuhan ekonomi, termasuk pertumbuhan populasi, konsumsi BBM di Indonesia diperkirakan 2,3 juta barrel per hari. Adapun konsumsi saat ini berkisar 1,6-1,7 juta barrel per hari.
Berdasarkan data Kementerian ESDM, cadangan terbukti minyak mentah Indonesia sekitar 3,6 miliar barrel yang diperkirakan habis dalam 13 tahun mendatang jika tidak ada penemuan cadangan baru. Sementara itu, cadangan terbukti gas bumi tersisa sekitar 100 triliun kaki kubik atau diperkirakan cukup sampai 34 tahun mendatang. Cadangan batubara tersisa 7,2 miliar ton atau akan habis dalam kurun 16 tahun mendatang.
Kompas, Page-18, Friday, August 4, 2017
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