After there was no certainty for almost 6 years, the collaboration between PT Pertamina (Persero) and Saudi Aramco Oil Co. the Cilacap Refinery development project can no longer be maintained.
Efforts to merge the strengths of the two state-owned oil and gas companies withered before they flourished. The decision to separate was disclosed by Pertamina through VP Corporate Communication Fajriyah Usman who stated the cooperation between Pertamina and Aramco in the project was no longer extended.
Fajriyah Usman
"After the extension of cooperation with Saudi Aramco was not carried out, Pertamina continued the Cilacap Refinery Development Master Plan (RDMP) independently, but in parallel, there would still be another strategic partner search," She said.
Nicke Widyawati
No immediate agreement was reached on the cooperation scheme until the valuation of the Cilacap Refinery was the main cause. Last February, Pertamina President Director Nicke Widyawati asserted that his party would still be waiting for offers from Aramco until the end of the first quarter / 2020 or March 2020.
Premature Partnership
It all started in 2014 ago. Pertamina began selecting partners in the Cilacap RDMP by submitting initial estimates of a number of aspects to the project such as capital expenditure of US $ 3 billion to the US $ 3.5 billion and an internal rate of return (IRR) of 15%. Through the development of the RDMP project, refinery processing capacity will increase from 348,000 barrels per day (BPD) to 370,000 BPD.
In addition, there will also be an increase in gasoline (gasoline) production from 59,000 BPD to 138,000 BPD and diesel dad production of 82,000 BPD to 137,000 BPD. With a current capacity of 348,000 BPD or 33% of the capacity of the oil refinery operated by Pertamina, the Cilacap Refinery is the largest refinery in Indonesia. The first phase of the Cilacap refinery has been operating since 1976 with a capacity of 118,000 BPD, while the Cilacap II refinery has operated since 1983 with a capacity of 230,000 BPD.
The resulting products are in the form of fuel oil (BBM) such as gasoline with octane RON 88 (Premium) and Ron 92 (Pertamax), kerosene, Solar, to avtur. Besides fuel, the Cilacap refinery also produces LPG, asphalt, sulfur, and petrochemical products such as benzene and propylene. The project is targeted to be completed in 2025 in order to pursue national energy security and independence which is marked by the stop of importing BBM in 2026.
The start of the partnership was marked by the election of Aramco as a partner with the signing of the MoU in December 2014 followed by The signing of the head of agreement (HOA) in 2015. In 2016, Aramco and Pertamina agreed on a number of key business principles through a joint venture development agreement (JVDA) with the majority portion being owned by Pertamina at 55% and the rest owned by Aramco.
One year ago, in 2017 both completed basic engineering designs with a refinery capacity of 400,000 BPD and an estimated capital expenditure of US $ 5.8 billion. After that, the collaborative process began to face a number of challenges. In 2018, Aramco requested that the Government of Indonesia obtain fiscal incentive facilities, including tax holidays.
Medio 2018, Pertamina has reached the progress of completing three Aramco requests, namely the granting of a tax holiday for 20 years, land acquisition, and approval of the Cilacap Refinery Business Unit (RU) IV spinoff along with the valuation results of the business unit. Regarding valuation, Pertamina has appointed Price Waterhouse Coopers (PWC) as an independent consultant to calculate the results that have been submitted to Aramco, namely an equity value of the US $ 3.98 billion, equivalent to US $ 5.18 enterprise value.
On November 19, 2018, at a high-level meeting in Jakarta, Aramco said that it would review the results of the RDMP valuation IV Cilacap and immediately deliver the results to Pertamina. Signs of the end of the Pertamina-Aramco partnership began to appear as the project valuation was not immediately agreed upon.
Time continued to roll and the signal to search for new partners was given by SOE Minister Erick Thohir on 29 October 2019, after attending the meeting coordination with the Coordinating Minister for Maritime Affairs and Investment, Luhut Binsar Pandjaitan. On the other hand, Pertamina actually shows its desire to partner with Aramco. Other collaboration alternatives were also proposed to Aramco, namely the only cooperated asset was the project new ones, and existing refineries are not included.
However, the offer did not seem to meet an agreement. The Pertamina-Aramco story at the Cilacap refinery in Central Java still ends prematurely. Meanwhile, Special Staff of the Ministry of SOEs Arya Sinulingga said that Aramco's withdrawal from its partnership with Pertamina in the Cilacap RDMP project was not due to the failure of negotiations on the business scheme to be carried out.
"Because corona and oil prices are falling, so the price to the economy does not enter again," he said.
He revealed that Pertamina was currently exploring potential new partners for the project. Arya said the potential partners are oil and gas companies from abroad.
NEED PARTNER
Gadjah Mada University Energy Economics Observer Fahmy Radhi said, reflecting on the negotiation process that took place too long and does not immediately produce a solution to terminate the cooperation is appropriate. Fahmy rate, Pertamina's financial capacity is able to finance the development of the project with a number of options, both absorbing internal funds, as well as from external sources such as the issuance of debt securities. Meanwhile, in terms of technology, Pertamina is also considered capable of continuing the development of the project independently.
"If the Cilacap RDMP project is completed and operational, then Pertamina will find a partner by releasing a maximum of 49% share ownership," he said.
Meanwhile, Executive Director of the Institute for Essential Services Reform (IESR) Fabby Tumiwa believes that Pertamina will find it difficult to develop the Cilacap refinery without cooperating with strategic partners. According to Fabby, of Pertamina's total capital expenditure this year of around the US $ 7.8 billion, half is allocated for business activities upstream, while the portion for refinery construction is not large.
"The investment capability is not enough to finance large projects such as refineries which, despite multi-years financing, will require very large CAPEX," he said.
Likewise, Executive Director of the RefoMiner Institute Komaidi Notonegoro said, business partners were needed by Pertamina to mitigate existing business risks. This is because Pertamina cannot focus its capital expenditure on refinery construction, but needs to be allocated to other business portfolios.
"Generally cooperation is needed because the business strategy is to minimize risk," he said.
The end of the collaboration between Pertamina and Aramco indeed raises big questions regarding the success of the Cilacap RDMP project. A big challenge awaits Pertamina to complete the project, either independently or with other partners.
Bisnis Indonesia, Page-10, Thursday, May 28, 2020
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